Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.026144 0.028284 0.030426 0.032728 0.035129 0.037555 0.040189
2025-08-03 0.022378 0.025804 0.029356 0.033296 0.037529 0.041923 0.046816
2025-08-10 0.019623 0.023754 0.028150 0.033138 0.038607 0.044388 0.050930
2025-08-17 0.017424 0.022034 0.027052 0.032860 0.039335 0.046281 0.054242
2025-08-24 0.015757 0.020741 0.026280 0.032799 0.040175 0.048183 0.057460
2025-08-31 0.014237 0.019489 0.025444 0.032564 0.040729 0.049692 0.060173
2025-09-07 0.012999 0.018475 0.024800 0.032476 0.041382 0.051256 0.062898
2025-09-14 0.011687 0.017283 0.023874 0.031992 0.041526 0.052196 0.064879
2025-09-21 0.010527 0.016202 0.023017 0.031532 0.041647 0.053070 0.066748
2025-09-28 0.009259 0.014906 0.021833 0.030626 0.041196 0.053244 0.067781
2025-10-05 0.008872 0.014718 0.021992 0.031317 0.042613 0.055564 0.071264
2025-10-12 0.008344 0.014310 0.021849 0.031618 0.043549 0.057313 0.074081
2025-10-19 0.007606 0.013618 0.021365 0.031540 0.044092 0.058680 0.076557
2025-10-26 0.007186 0.013348 0.021422 0.032144 0.045477 0.061067 0.080263
2025-11-02 0.006503 0.012661 0.020898 0.031987 0.045911 0.062310 0.082614
2025-11-09 0.005839 0.011952 0.020308 0.031715 0.046179 0.063335 0.084694
2025-11-16 0.005309 0.011402 0.019903 0.031655 0.046691 0.064639 0.087092
2025-11-23 0.004768 0.010793 0.019385 0.031425 0.046971 0.065648 0.089129
2025-11-30 0.004318 0.010291 0.018992 0.031338 0.047414 0.066842 0.091379
2025-12-07 0.003791 0.009621 0.018328 0.030865 0.047347 0.067400 0.092853
2025-12-14 0.003318 0.008997 0.017700 0.030415 0.047289 0.067955 0.094311
2025-12-21 0.002778 0.008197 0.016775 0.029527 0.046642 0.067762 0.094849
2025-12-28 0.002665 0.008164 0.016988 0.030203 0.048023 0.070081 0.098435